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Volume 73, No. 17, April 28, 2007

A Genocide, Three Constituencies, Thoughts for the Future (Part II)

By Halil Berktay


Who is (was) Responsible for What?

My main point here is that today, that is to say more than 90 years after these catastrophic, cataclysmic events, we urgently need to broaden out from a “Turkey vs. Armenians” view of the prospects and processes of recognition and reconciliation to a “multiple constituencies” approach. The horrors of 1915 continue to cast a long shadow over, and to affect the political cultures, mentalities and future horizons of, at least three groups of people : (1) the Armenians of Armenia; (2) Armenians of the diaspora; and (3) Turks in Turkey and elsewhere. To these, probably there should also be added (4) Turkish Armenians, whose presence and identity has been blurred and muted until very recently, but who—in what we might call “the Hrant Dink era”—have gradually been emerging into greater visibility and distinctiveness both in Turkey and abroad.

Just by putting things in this way, I must emphasize that consciously, deliberately, I am already diverging from a beaten path. For the way the Armenian question is usually posed entails a simple opposition between Turkey and Armenians, or even between Turks and Armenians, if only by way of a verbal shorthand. I think this is wrong and misleading, the worst aspect of it being the final, hostile counterpositioning of Turks (as Turks) and Armenians (as Armenians). Against this, the proper way to address the question is to begin by making a clear distinction (a) between the Turkish establishment and Turkish civil society, and also another distinction (b) between Turkish nationalism (and nationalists), and Turks in general.

This is because “Turks” in general did not order and carry out the genocide in 1915, and again, “Turks” in general are not primarily and spontaneously responsible for the current production and dissemination of denialism. Let me recap some of the implications of the genocide analysis that I undertook in Part I of this article. The 1915 expulsion and extermination of Ottoman Armenians was conceived and planned by a dictatorial military triumvirate, a non-accountable warlordship rendered “rootless and ruthless”2 by its own social conditions of existence and by its politically abnormal, arrivistic route to power—an army-party leadership which was also standing at the apex of a similarly rootless and ruthless, and newly nationalistic3, type of military-bureaucratic cadre. Under direct orders from especially Talaat, the intellectual mastermind and talented organizer of the triumvirate, the mass expulsion and extermination of Ottoman Armenians was carried out not even by the entirety of this military-bureaucratic cadre, but by its most loyally nationalistic elements in turn mobilizing the most tribally or criminally organized, the most fanatically xenophobic, anti-Christian, anti-Armenian4, and perhaps also the most materially covetous elements of the local populations of parts of Asia Minor. Many were unenthusiastic, but were coerced or were otherwise swept into a volcano of violence, while many others were repelled, choosing to stand aloof, perhaps helping save a few Armenians here and there, or in some cases protesting outright.5 Then from the 1970s onwards, it was once more by a military-bureaucratic establishment, by a state-class locked into the ideological legacy of that same mostly Unionist nationalism (which had been coopted into and subsumed, reified under a post-Kemalist façade of Ataturkism), that a systematic denialist discourse came to be constructed. Today, such denialist indoctrination continues to emanate from the most authoritarian, militaristic, nationalistic, anti-European and anti-Western elements of the military-bureaucratic complex, which are forcefully imposing it on the rest of Turkish society, including the media, political parties, and even the government. They are, indeed, using and manipulating this discourse to pursue objectives that are not limited to the Armenian question as such. What they are maximally after is straitjacketing all other public visions, outlooks and discourses, and establishing un-crossable “red lines,” so-called, so as to maintain the whole political system in ideological bondage to the deep state.

It is as part of that blinding, blinkering and straitjacketing attempt that they are also trying to persuade (or rather, stampede) all the rest of Turkish society into standing in solidarity with the main actors of 1915, the decision-makers and the executors, on the grounds that they were—Turks. In Turkish nationalist discourse, therefore, Enver, Talaat and Cemal, and Bahaddin Sakir, Kuscubasi Esref, Dr. Nazim and all others of the TM, and the likes of the sub-governor of Bogazliyan, are divested of all other qualities except their Turkishness; stripped of their dictatorial inclinations, their putschism, their authoritarianism, their extra-legality and non-accountability, their propensity to have their opponents and critics (including free-thinking journalists) assassinated, their extreme nationalism tinged with racism and Social Darwinism—stripped, in other words, of all evidence of a political-ideological outlook that today, with the advantage of hindsight, we might qualify as proto-fascist—it is as nothing but Turks in the abstract that they are presented to the citizenship of modern Turkey, who are also thereby divested of all distinguishing characteristics, including all their very real ideo-political differences, and purely as Turks are asked to engage in primitive ancestor worship with regard to these other Turks of a bygone generation. So it was precisely against such obfuscation, that back in fall 2000, I likened the perpetrators of 1915 to the undercover, extra-legal, fascistically motivated deep state agents of the 1990s, such as the Hizbullahin, or those former Grey Wolf types that were accidentally caught in flagrante delicto at Susurluk.6 I was trying to tell Turkish society: Look, living in the present, do you identify yourselves with these people simply because they too happen to be Turkish? If not, why should you identify yourselves with their 1915 counterparts? At the time, this was an innovative explanatory strategy, and appears to have had quite an impact—to judge, among other things, by the amount of nationalist ink and invective that has been spent on trying to neutralize it. But then, might it not be worth the while of the Armenian diaspora (or diasporas), too, to pay a little attention to just this point?

Who stands to gain?


This is crucial, for only if we put things in this way does it become possible to see, to envisage that Turks and Armenians need not be enemies, but can actually be partners or allies in efforts to come face to face with both historical and contemporary reality, and to recognize and to exorcise the demons of the genocide. It cannot be emphasized enough that each of the three or four constituencies I have referred to stands to gain, albeit in different ways, from reconciliation through genocide recognition, broadly understood (whether this means the widespread dissemination and acceptance of the historical truth in Turkish civil society, or an Establishment act of recognition, or both).

What are these gains? How can we describe or define them? This could be the subject of a very long discussion in itself, where we would also have to take into account the heterogeneity of the three or four constituencies in question, which are of course divided into different groups, ideologies, partiers, factions or outlooks. Clearly, for example, there are questions among Armenians themselves as to what Armenians really want—why they demand genocide recognition, and what they hope to obtain through it. Closure pure and simple, and the mental and emotional peace that could come with it? Or perhaps also reparations of some kind? Or even territorial concessions? Let us not be too naive about it; it cannot be denied that there are some Armenian groups, leaderships or individuals that aspire to such reparations or concessions. I have no way of knowing whether they are in the majority or the minority (of just what geography or demography), but at least on this panel, Henry Theriault has already made a statement to that effect. This, of course, presents some very thorny problems. The first and most important is that this, indeed, belongs with, and can only belong with, the sphere of the state. Such demands, in other words, can only be addressed to a state, and by the same token can only be accepted or rejected by a state. Hence, too, especially in their maximal form (involving not private but collective reparations or concessions), they can only be pursued by another state, or at least a state-like “collective will” unit. So this puts us back into that exclusively vertical relationship between Armenia and Turkey (qua nation-state), or between some notion of Armenian diaspora representation and Turkey, which I regard as very narrowly restrictive, and which I have been trying to avoid in the first place. Simply put, it does not allow much room (mildly put) for lateral dialogue between civil society constituencies, does it? In fact, so drastic is it at the moment, that I cannot help wondering whether putting it on the table might not actually reflect an inner desire to put paid to any hopes for lateral dialogue (by people who love the problem, and who do not want to solve it but to continue living with it and by it). Speaking purely as a hypothetical observer of future events, it cannot, of course, be ruled out that as a result of unpredictable twists and turns, the internal situations of Turkey and Armenia, and therefore also the power relations between Turkey and Armenia, might evolve so that this becomes possible. But that is precisely the point—that it can only be a by-product of international power relations in the rather distant and unforeseeable future. In terms of a current project of lateral civil society dialogues, it can serve as a least common denominator for—precisely nothing.

So let me assume, for the sake of convenience if nothing else, that as a bare minimum, as a least common denominator, many, maybe most diaspora Armenians demand closure through sincere and genuine (not sham) recognition—and they are certainly entitled to it. At least for the moment that enables me to come back to the third constituency named above, that is to say Turks in Turkey and abroad. They are absolutely critical in this regard, for the Armenian question is first and foremost a Turkish question in some profound sense. It began in Turkey, and if it is ever to end, it will have to end in Turkey. It was exorbitated into genocidal proportions by early Turkish nationalism, and if it is to be meaningfully recognized, it will have to be recognized by contemporary Turks in an act of self-liberation from the shackles of latter-day varieties of that nationalism. What is crucial here is for Turks themselves to come to understand, and for it to be made possible for them to come to understand—and here I am jumping ahead a bit—through the help, yes, not just of world public opinion in general but also of Armenians especially in the diaspora, in conveying messages to the effect that such recognition need not entail succumbing to a vindictive, hence punitive conspiracy, and that given such facilitation, they themselves stand not to lose but to win through confronting, understanding and recognizing the historical reality of 1915 for what it was. If this can be done, genocide recognition, and reconciliation and closure through genocide recognition, can be redefined not as a lose-win (i.e. zero sum) game, or, worse, even a lose-lose (negative sum) game, but actually as a win-win (positive sum) game. For Turks do stand to gain enormously. They stand to gain by doing away with the national myths and taboos that serve as the ideological markers of a quasi-military authoritarianism. They stand to gain by relieving themselves of the constant tensions inculcated by a “national security state” that requires a “culture of the enemy” to be able to perpetuate abnormality. They stand to gain by forging a new, open, brave and honest relationship with the world at large. They stand to gain in terms of a real and comprehensive democratization of Turkish society.

Turkish weakness: relative lack of historical knowledge

In the long run, therefore, working for genocide recognition and for democracy in Turkey are not contradictory. But whether genocide recognition, here and now, can be an immediate demand, is something else altogether. It is not going to be easy, basically because each of these constituencies also has its specific strengths and weaknesses. Among other things, they have been separated and isolated from each other, and thereby also come to (or been made to) distrust or suspect each other for far too long. Partly as a result, they have come to embody (a) different levels of historical knowledge and understanding; (b) different political experiences and vocabularies in current time; and (c) different assessments of the external and internal dynamics available. These and other factors are all reflected in the present outlook of the diverse intellectual elites that claim to be speaking on their behalf. All in all, we are facing, and trying to cope with, different institutional histories.

Let us begin with Turks or Turkish society. Confronted with the Armenian question, what are its, or their, strengths and weaknesses? The key weakness is very obvious: lack of historical knowledge and understanding. This has not been absolute and immediate; evolving over time, going through various stages, it has had its own relativity and historicity. Neither has it always been the outcome of a fully conscious conspiracy. Many Armenians might believe that denialism arose virtually as soon as the genocide. This is not so. An interesting aspect of late 20th or early 21st century Turkish nationalist denialism is that its spokesmen or proponents are so shallow as to appear to have forgotten all about the Turkish memoirs and media accounts that were published in the 1920s and early 30s. So they frequently engage in speculative gyrations overlooking how easily these can be contradicted by period witnesses. For in Turkey in these first Republican decades, there was no question about whether something enormous had happened to the Armenians. They had been there, and then they were no longer there, and it had all happened within living memory. There could really be no question of rejecting outright the fact of their uprooting, expulsion and demise. Basically, there were two options, and two camps: Had this been good or bad? Mustafa Kemal himself was hostile to the Unionist leadership that had previously marginalized him, and whom he had come to see as dangerous adventurists who with their pro-German sympathies had dragged Turkey into the Great War. He had taken over from this Old Guard, and never forgot that their underlings were trying to jundermine and ovethrow his own power. He was also pursuing a project of all-out Westernization and reconciliation with Europe. But at the same time, his power base rested on the former Unionist rank-and-file. They were all around him: his captains, majors, colonels; his adjutants, aide-de camps; his party stalwarts, his governors and sub-governors. His own hands were clean, though not those of many in his new command apparatus. Hence he had to be circumspect, politic, to be able to balance things.7 So for example he had to distance himself from the 1919 court martial, which after all had taken place under that same Entente Occupation whose defeat underpinned his entire legitimacy; as a result, at one point we have him talking favorably about the “unjustly executed” Bogazliyan sub-governor. But on various other occasions, we also have him condemning the atrocities of 1915, and even referring to them as “a shameful act,” to quote the title of Taner Akçam’s latest book. Others around him could be more open, such as Falih Rifki (Atay), who after the great fire of Izmir/Smyrna in September 1922 gave voice to his anger about “why we were doing this to the Greeks or Armenians,” and who also quoted the outburst that Halide Edib directed at him, Falih Rifki, for having introduced her to Bahaddin Sakir: “How could you make me shake hands with this murderer?” she vehemently demanded. It is difficult to imagine Falih Rifki writing such things without Mustafa Kemal’s approval. So there was a circle of more liberal-democratic minded Kemalists for whom it was emphatically a bad thing, but of course there were also others for whom it was a good thing, a heroic act of patriotic self-defense, argued along the lines that if “we” had not got them, those Armenians were eventually going to get “us.” This bit of law-of-the-jungle Social Darwinism closely echoed Talaat’s own words to Halil Bey (the head of the Ottoman parliament, later Halil Mentese) upon the latter’s return from Berlin a few months after the deportations and massacres had begun; they also became the main line of defense for many of the accused during the 1919 trials, dovetailing into Ziya Gokalp’s aphorism about how “it was not a case of we massacring them; rather, both sides fought and massacred each other.” Nevertheless, even alongside such brazen defiance (including Halil Mentese’s memoirs), as well as in other works of sober reporting, such as Ahmed Refik’s testimony on the plight of the Armenian deportees that he observed in transition to the unknown, one can find ample evidence about what actually happened. These are not hidden archival documents that we are talking about; they are narrative sources that are easily available in any library if not bookshop.8

After the infighting and the purges of the 1920s, however, as the new régime not only consolidated itself, but also, under the impact of the Great Depression, became more rigidly and autarkically statist in the 1930s; furthermore with all the great powers courting Ankara, and with Armenia in particular controlled by the Soviet Union, and also with the various new Armenian diasporas created all over the world still not very effective in making their voices heard—under these conditions, it seemed safe for the Turkish establishment to allow the nightmare of 1915 to recede further and further back into the fogs of time. In Murat Belge’s words, inside Turkey itself “the production of knowledge” on the cataclysm was gradually abandoned, resulting in decades of induced forgetting, of collective amnesia (think of what Americans might know and remember of Hiroshima by 2045, for example, if for the next 38 years nothing more were to be written about it in textbooks or the media). Such silence was also reinforced by a sense of the state carefully watching over as yet not very sharply etched “red lines,” though such guardianship was not very explicit. But elsewhere, of course, such production of knowledge continued apace, not only accelerating but also (with Lemkin’s and others’ contributions) coming to be more radically re-conceptualized in time, thus giving rise to an impressive (though perhaps uneven) body of genocide literature. Thus it was that from the 1930s to the 1970s, there arose a growing, eventually immense discrepancy between what the world knew about the Armenian genocide and what was “known” (or was allowed to be known and said) inside Turkey.9

It was on top of this, then, that the ASALA attacks on Turkish diplomats came from the 1970s onwards—partly under one military dictatorship or the other, or just as the country was moving from the Nationalist Front coalition governments of Suleyman Demirel (with strong backing by, and therefore also protection for, the MHP’s Grey Wolves) to Kenan Evren’s September 12, 1980 régime. It was a disastrous combination. After decades of ignorance or misinformation, the military had a field day with the indignation that rose inside Turkey against these bombings and assassinations. This was the time of the creation of a truly systematic denialist discourse about “baseless slanders” and “the fabrications of Armenian propaganda,” curtly imposing it upon an already considerably muffled and intimidated media, and through it upon all of public space. From the 1990s into the first decade of the 21st century, this was followed up by the instalment of a comprehensive network of the ideological apparatuses of the new national security state, including new school curricula or teaching packs imposed on the National Education Ministry from the outside, as well as various schemes of cooperation between YOK (the Board of Higher Education), TTK (the Turkish Historical Society, which under Yusuf Halacoglu has increasingly had less and less to do with scholarship and more and more to do with propaganda), and ASAM (the Center for Eurasian Strategic Studies, a hard nationalist, right-wing, privately endowed Ankara think-tank). From 2000 on, it is from around or within this triangle that materials appear to have been originating for smear campaigns and intimidation campaigns launched against dissident scholars and intellectuals in the media (including the internet), and with more than a whiff of masterminding by some Psychological Warfare Department hanging over the whole affair.

The final stage of denialism is a historical moment of inertia or autonomy. When Hamlet and Ophelia are watching “the play within the play,” at one point “Methinks the lady doth protest too much,” says Ophelia. The Turkish nationalist deep state, too, has “protested too much.” That is to say, it has resorted to anything and everything, regardless of consistency, to counter “Armenian allegations.” All such bits and pieces of “refutation,” produced mostly for domestic consumption but internationally worthless (in the face of world knowledge), have now turned into a cage imprisoning—Turkish policy. “After having denied it for so long, how can we now turn around and tell the Turkish public that, er, you know, it did happen?” In domestic politics, that has become an immeasurable liability. It is as if, in war, one side had started to dig what it regarded as a defensive trench—and then dug so far and deep that it ended up having dug itself into a hole that it cannot get out of. It has become a habitus, a mental prison, an end in itself. Having lost all defensive value, it still cannot be abandoned.

Turkish Strengths: Size and Heterogeneity; Traditions of Political Dissent and Critical Scholarship

But so, these are the tools with which an increasingly anxious and wrathful deep state has been trying to spread disinformation, to bludgeon dissenting voices back into line, and to restore its weakening, eroding monopoly over public space—though not always to any great avail. For at the same time, there is a significant degree of strength and resiliance in Turkish civil society, though this is not always obvious from the outside. First, there is the matter of sheer size, which tends to go hand in hand with heterogeneity. Turkey is much bigger than, for example, Armenia, and therefore also has a much higher level of internal differentiation, and not just in terms of regional development or its wealth and income distribution corollaries. Turkish society is also much more explicitly, vocally, self-consciously divided into a wide range of educational backgrounds, ideological outlooks, sub-cultures and political preferences. Furthermore, all these find expression in a huge media sector that is of course under pressure to conform to the “national line” but nevertheless stands closer to the freedom end than to the dictatorship end of the scale—a media that comprises large numbers of newspapers, radios and television channels.

By that token, Turkey is, and Turks are, also that much more difficult to control, and to impose unity and uniformity upon. For example, part and parcel of that heterogeneity are traditions of critical Left-opposition that are deeply suspicious of the deep state. The intelligentsia still remembers even distant acts of duplicity or arbitrary high-handedness—such as, in 1938-39, the trumped-up charges of fomenting revolt within the army and navy colleges that led to Nazým Hikmet’s imprisonment for nearly two decades (and the Kafkaesque military tribunal that handed down an already decided sentence); during the transitional 1945-50 phase, the novelist Sabahattin Ali’s mysterious murder, as well as the mobilization of right-wing rabble to destroy the offices and printing presses of the independent daily Tan; then a further nationalist mobilization to carry out the September 6-7, 1955 pogrom against the remaining Greeks (and other non-Muslim minorities) of especially Istanbul and Izmir.10 Closer to home, tens (perhaps even a few hundreds) of thousands of young people who went through torture and harsh prison conditions under the March 12, 1971 or September 12, 1980 army coups and régimes are now in their forties or fifties, and very far from forgetting. Also inscribed in their collective memory are numerous other provocations that paved the way from the first to the second of these military takeovers, such as the 1977 May Day massacre, or an attempt to assassinate the late Bulent Ecevit during that year’s election campaign, or the mysterious bombing and sinking of a moored liner in the Golden Horn and the equally mysterious fire that ravaged Istanbul’s main opera house—all perpetrated by the same dark forces that then blamed “communists” or “terrorists.” People also know how brutal Diyarbakýr prison was already in the 1970s and then just how much more indescribably savage it became for its Kurdish detainees in the 1980s (and how this then turned into a breeding ground for the PKK). They know about the comprehensive post-1974 infiltration of the extreme right into the police and other security forces (as demonstrated for the whole world to see by videos of Hrant Dink’s murderer being congratulated by those who had taken him into custody). As a result, there is a profound revulsion built into non-negligible sections of Turkish society—not just against such acts of oppression, repression or provocation, but also against all the attendant hypocrisy, the Orwellian double-talk, the facile lies and the disinformation statements perpetually dished out by the military-bureaucratic complex. Who were the huge crowds of Istanbuliotes, estimated at anywhere from 100,000 to 200,000, that turned out to mourn Hrant Dink, striking fear into the establishment simply by marching in silence behind the slogan “We are all Armenians”? The simple answer is that they were (are) people “taught by need and sorrow,” as Bertold Brecht would have it—people for whom all of the above has been their life-experience.

A third point is that this tradition of dissent, which is not to be underestimated in itself, goes further and deeper insofar as it is not confined to streets and public squares, nor to political rallies and protest marches, but has also come to inspire, to be embodied in, and to receive permanence and paradigmatic status from, a new critical scholarship. Like everything else, myths arising from revolutions and nation-states also have their half-life. There is an early phase in which the revolution maintains immense momentum and prestige, and its self-narration, persuading everybody to embrace a black-and-white contrast between the old and the new order. Gradually, however, even that new régime ages, the public mobilization subsides, rituals of enthusiasm become shop-worn, while the costs of making a revolution begin to emerge, including not only the casualties but also the structural legacies, on which new generations of cool and sober scholarship start to concentrate. In Turkey, this kind of sea-change has been taking place since the 1970s, when it became precisely the March 12th and September 12th crackdowns, in the name of Ataturkism (or Ataturkist Bonapartism), on a Left that had hitherto imagined itself to represent the true revolutionary legacy of Ataturkism, that launched successive generations of then-young students and scholars on the way to re-examining that imagined relationship. Today, many of them are amongst Turkey’s foremost historians and social scientists. Yes, the September 12, 1980 military régime in particular has also created numbers of very docile state universities, especially in the provinces, that are more “state” than “university,” and which adhere to the military-bureaucratic state center in pretty much the same way that German universities adhered to the Bismarckian state in the 1870s and 80s, or the only two Turkish state universities that then existed adhered to the Kemalist state in the 1930s. Yes, over the last two or three years, we have also witnessed some (literally) incredible public gestures from some of these university administrations that have nothing to do with their educational raison d’être, such as declarations of support for Denktashite die-hardism in Cyprus, or against any AKP leader’s presidential candidacy, and even a single act of banning all French courses in response to the extension of the “Loi Gayssot” to cover the Armenian genocide. But at the same time, abroad as well as inside Turkey, in other and more serious institutions of higher knowledge that serve as safe havens for academic freedom, driven by disenchantment with official ideology, and benefiting from both Turkey’s size and degree of openness to the outside world (which enable good scholars to break out of parochialism and connect with the mainstream of their respective disciplines as universally practised), there flourishes a new sociology, a new anthropology, a new political science, and of course a new history of an increasingly high caliber. In particular, more and more historians (as well as other social scientists working with a historical approach) have been producing rising numbers of excellent books and articles subjecting virtually every link of the old triumphalist narrative of a “perfect” revolution to intense scrutiny. In effect, on the 19th century (comprising the Tanzimat and the Hamidian eras) and the first half of the 20th century (comprising the Young Turks and Kemalist revolutions), a comprehensively non-statist, non-nationalist New History has arisen in Turkey and the Turkish diaspora over the last 30 years or more—as evidenced only partially by the list of participants in the “Ottoman Armenians” conference of September 2005. To put it in another way, the scholarly recognition of the historical realities of 1915 has come about not just because of a civic reaction against an atmosphere of stifling hypocrisy, but also as a by-product of this entire historiographical development. Simply put, serious Turkish scholars have made major strides in both deconstructing Turkish nationalism and developing empathic insights into its significant”others,” ultimately finding their way into the Armenian case.11 It is not for me to ask whether my generation’s and then succeeding generations’ critical re-examination of Turkish nationalist mythology has any counterpart, in terms of scope, emotional intensity and intellectual sophistication, in Armenian and Armenian diaspora scholars’ critical engagement with their “own”—that is to say Armenian—statism or nationalism.

Turkish Strengths: The Rise of a Pro-European Islam

Last but not least, there is the enormous fact of the current divide in Turkish politics to consider. The same process of disenchantment with the authoritarian outlook and implications of post-Kemalist Ataturkism, or with the seeming impossibility of democratising that outlook12, that has led to a scholarly enterprise of desacralisation, has also called forth a political project of seeking representation for Islam and Islamists in the public sphere. After ups and downs involving electoral successes, party bannings and re-formations from the 1960s to the present, over the last decade this drive has produced the present AKP government, resting on a nearly two-thirds majority in parliament, and frequently described as embodying a marriage of moderate Islam with conservative modernism. But why should that be at all relevant to our present subject? I am aware that from the outside, and especially from a diaspora vantage point, at first sight the entire Turkish establishment might appear monolithic when it comes to the Armenian question. Are they not all opposed to genocide recognition “here and now”? In the face of H.Res.106, has it not been Abdullah Gül as the AKP Foreign Minister who has responded with a Washington Times guest editorial that looks like nothing but a delaying exercise? At the end of the day, aren’t they all denialists of some kind or other?


During the March 31st panel, too, such questions inevitably arose, and all I can do here is to summarize some of my answers in general form. Once more, outside appearances (of homogeneity) can be very deceptive, leading to quick and easy errors. There was a 19th and early 20th century moment in Ottoman-Turkish history when secular nationalists (or Turkists) were modernists, whereas Islamists were more anti-modern. As the inheritor of a Young Turk and Kemalist mantle, the CHP as the founding party of the Republic long persisted in combining nationalism with the universalizing implications of modernity. Especially after its 1950 move from power to opposition, over the last half-century it was to the CHP that the public kept turning for defense of human rights, against torture and political executions, for social democratic alignments with Europe against military régimes, or in the quest for a less conflictual foreign policy.

But all this has changed, drastically and comprehensively, over the last decade. It is as if, in the persons of the AKP’s Erdogan-Gul leadership and the CHP’s Baykal-Oymen-Elekdag leadership, the secular Ataturkists and the moderate Islamists have switched places, moving to opposite sides of modernity’s universalization project. It is the AKP government that, especially over 2003-04, has moved exceptionally rapidly to fulfill the Copenhagen criteria through a series of legal-institutional reforms (though practice has lagged behind legislation). Against this, it is the CHP that has positioned itself as the champion not of Europeanism but of nationalism, choosing to oppose and attack the AKP not over “too little” but over “too much” Europeanization. In the process, the CHP has virtually abandoned the modernity leg of its traditional platform. Specifically with regard to all the most critical issues of Cyprus, the Kurdish question, and, yes, the Armenian question, the CHP (with two retired, hawkish senior diplomats in ominously key positions) has repeatedly aligned itself with deep state intransigence, raising a hue and cry about “sell-out” or “betrayal” in attempts, together with President Sezer and the entire military-bureaucratic complex, to blackmail the AKP into abandoning all impasse-breaking initiatives.

In contrast, on all these points the AKP leadership has always given signs of wanting to liberate itself at least partially from the shackles of official ideology and the quasi-military “national security” line. This was most marked in their first two years in power, when they had caught everybody by surprise, and the deep state had not had time to organize a concerted reaction. For example, this was when they were emitting their strongest signals about a peaceful solution in Cyprus. This was also when they were refraining from saying anything on the Armenian question that was a repetition of the old rhetoric. They were obviously trying to avoid being dragged back into toeing the traditional state-line, and to reserve for themselves a certain room for maneuver. At one point, Tayyip Erdogan went so far as to say that he was not fully familiar with the historical realities of this sad or tragic period, eliciting an uproar from unofficial media spokesmen for the deep state, who promptly started warning him and his Foreign Minister not to stray from the fold.13 Subsequently, the CHP leadership moved in parliament, under a plan hatched by Sukru Elekdag, to lay siege to the AKP, to lock it into a non-partisan national coalition mentality, and thus to prevent it from achieving any significant breakthrough on the Armenian question. By the way, this was when the AKP leadership came up with a proposal to establish a bilateral commission of Turkish and Armenian historians to investigate the events of 1915. This has been only reviled by most vocal Armenians, who, I think, have not perceived the possibility that the AKP might have been trying to create an escape clause for itself—to formulate and retain, in the face of deep state encirclement, at least one dialogue avenue, however narrow, maybe in the hope that in better times it might be enlarged and improved upon. Interestingly, through many tense months in 2005, both Erdogan and Gul also repeatedly deplored the various efforts to obstruct or ban the “Ottoman Armenians” conference, speaking up again and again in defense of academic freedom. Eventually this even led to Abdullah Gul sending a key “good wishes” message, as moderate as possible, to the opening session of the conference. The Erdogan-Gul duo’s approach to the Hrant Dink murder, too, has been distinctively different from that of the state establishment as well of the nationalist media. Erdogan went in person to offer his condolences to Mrs. Dink (has any other major party leader done so?), and also spoke favorably of the massive funeral, undertaking only mild and restrained criticism of its central slogan (“We are all Armenians”). Finally, this recent editorial by Abdullah Gul in the Washington Times also merits a careful reading. Halfway down, the Turkish Foreign Minister (soon to become president) specifies what he is objecting to: “With regard to the Armenian allegation describing the tragedy that befell them as genocide, the question, from the point of view of international law, is whether the Ottoman government systematically pursued a calculated act of state policy....” Otherwise put, at least here he limits himself not to a historical but to an entirely legal/istic position—while also admitting that it was a “tragedy that befell them [the Armenians].”

Do not dismiss this out of hand, for in terms of Turkish realities this is neither Elekdag nor four-star language. Simultaneously, Mr. Gul also opens the door, for the very first time, not to a purely bilateral but now a multilateral historians’ commission. He says: “I hereby extend an invitation to any third country, including the United States, to contribute to this commission by appointing scholars...” Furthermore, this offer has now been repeated in the April 24th paid advertisement placed by the Turkish embassy in the New York Times. Do not dismiss this, too, out of hand: This is tantamount to a promise that Turkey would abide by the findings of any such international history commission. Back in October 2005, soon after the Istanbul “Ottoman Armenians” conference, I myself said something similar in Yerevan when I was attending a NATO Rose-Roth seminar. As repeated in the lengthy interview that Khatchig Mouradian then did with me (for his Beirut paper), I was looking for and suggesting ways to transform a bilateral commission that could be stacked with state-appointed lawyer-historians into a more multilateral one. I was suggesting that Armenia could pick up this challenge and respond with a broadening counter-proposal. At the time, I was attacked by nationalist parliamentarians and columnists for such suggestions “to the enemy.” A year or more later, suddenly, we have Abdullah Gul accepting and inviting multilateralization. Is this or is this not a new departure? Could this be the enlargement of an initially narrow escape clause that I was referring to above? Depends on who makes what use of it. Wouldn’t it be nice if the U.S., the UK, France, Italy, Germany or Holland were to say yes—and to nominate some of these countries’ greatest experts on 1915 to this commission? Do Armenians have any reason to fear the outcome? I do not; I have laid out my analysis of the 1915 genocide; I am willing to submit it to the scrutiny of any group of knowledgeable and critical historians; I believe there is enough evidence to persuade any genuinely international, multilateral, objective counterpart of South Africa’s Truth Commission(s). A lot would depend, of course, on the compositional and procedural rules to be adopted. But Mr Gul and the New York Times ad do not say anything about Turkey vetoing third country appointees. And of course, all that would be taking place under the watchful eye of the international public. Frankly, I do not see how all such weights and safeguards could be easily tricked or manipulated.14

But I do not want to belabor this point. My main argument here is not about the pros and cons of a historians’ commission, however defined. It is about the distinction between “state” and “government” in Turkey, about how a vein and party of moderate Islam has ended up as much more pro-European than the Ataturkist establishment, and also about how it is likely to continue in that way—not least because it perceives European democracy as necessary for its own chances of survival. It is also about the potential that is thereby implied for historical recognition and reconciliation. Provided, of course, that especially diaspora Armenians learn to read, understand and act upon such signs of Turkish developments.

Armenian Strengths and Weaknesses

This brings me to my last chapter: about the strengths and weaknesses of my second constituency, that is to say Armenians of the diaspora, and even more specifically American Armenians. The way I see it, what are their—your—strengths and weaknesses? In dealing with Turkish civil society, I first addressed the weaknesses and then the strength. Here, however, I am going to do it the other way round: first the strengths and then the weaknesses, because it is not with platitudes but with a critique that I want to conclude.

With regard to our common problem, the main source of strength for Armenia and diaspora Armenians is very basic: It is their immense historical knowledge, resting on their life-experience. Simply put, they (you) know what happened over 1915-16 better than anybody else—through personal and family memories; through piles of archival and other documentary wealth; through innumerable publications. I do not mean that this whole body of genocide scholarship is above criticism. Some of it has too narrow a focus on just Armenian “national history” (in the tradition of 19th century German historiography). A lot of self-particularization creeps in, as well as an essentialistic approach to your “other(s).” There is not enough critical analysis of the aims, programs or practices of Armenian nationalism in history, leading in some cases to a total identification with the Armenian actors of the late 19th and early 20th century, to the point of eliminating the distance between now and then, and coming to see things entirely through their eyes (whereas one would expect modern historical methodology to be more distanced). At the same time, too much is ascribed to “Islamic fanaticism,” or else too much criminal intent and design is ascribed to the Young Turks from the outset, who are frequently regarded as rabid nationalists already in 1908, only practising dissimulation in order to realize their evil plans under favorable circumstances. This quasi-Hegelian vision of an inevitable “unfolding” allows too little scope for the accidentalities of history (and is unfortunately a common failing of many Balkan nationalist historiographies, too, as well as Turkish nationalist historiography). But in the end, the historical knowledge accumulated and put at the disposal of the whole world through decades of work by Armenian genocide scholars is both quantitatively and qualitatively immense. There is no way that this can be rendered null and void by any talk about “baseless Armenian propaganda.” If knowledge, science and scholarship count for anything in this world, it is the ultimate guarantee that in the long run, it is denialism that will have to give way. For the sake of sanity and democracy in my own country, I do hope that more and more of Turkish society, eventually Turkish parties and politicians, and ultimately Turkish governance, also come to realize this.

But to that end, what is more serious is that most present-day diaspora Armenians do not know or understand Turkey, as a result of which they do not know what to make of and how to talk with contemporary Turks. This includes the Turkish Left-dissidents and the new generation of critical Turkish scholarship that I have mentioned; most of you do not know what to make of and how to talk with even these “new Turks.” Look, here in this auditorium, or here now in these sentences that I am writing to be published and read, I am keenly aware that many of you do not know what to make of me and how to talk to me or with me (other than to tell us/me that we are “very brave,” or else to suspect and challenge us/me as possibly yet another Fifth Column sent to disrupt Armenian unity). Between such extremes of hostile doubts and platitudes, it is as yet very rare for us to be able to talk as individuals, in our personal voices, trading knowledge and analysis, forgetting that one of us happens to be a Turk and the other happens to be an Armenian.

More broadly put, what many diaspora Armenians and Armenian leaderships do not have is the up-to-date political experience and expertise to deal properly with the emergence into human form of this new, dynamic, non-monolithic, non-homogenous Turkey that with all its oppositional intellectuals and critical scholars, its pro-European business community and reforming moderate Islamists, is going through such a vital struggle for democracy. I think this is mostly because Armenians have been closed off (and have closed themselves off) for far too long; they have tended to perceive Turkey as “one big enemy,” against which they have come to hold on to “one big fact” (of the genocide as the most common identity denominator), pursued through a certain notion of genocide recognition as “one big policy.” There is a lot in this that is very understandable. Confronting intransigence can be a hard (and hardening) experience. Such stubborn denialism in the face of the truth can drive the whole world to sheer exasperation—and to a desire to batter down that resistance through forceful means, whatever the cost. Of course, it is very possible for such methods to turn counter-productive. It was in Yerevan that I first told an anecdote about coming home one day to find that my child had “experimented” with mixing cough medicine and other kitchen ingredients into a foul-smelling brew which she had then abandoned on the counter. When asked, although there was nobody else around, she unthinkingly said “No, I didn’t do it”—and just could not get out of the trap of sticking by that first statement, however ludicrous that might be in the face of all the evidence. After a huge blowup, and then after hours of calming down and making peace, admission came only in the course of a return to normal conversation.

The parallel here is that in their reactiveness to denialism, many Armenian leaderships appear to have locked themselves into a single strategy of forcing recognition on Turkey through external, international pressure. A discourse about how “Armenians are the eternal victims in the face of an eternal Turkish dominance” (here exemplified by Henry Theriault), revolving around both self-pity and a false belief in the inescapable tyranny of history, helps sustain the conviction that there is no other recourse. For Armenians, one consequence has been a certain lack of political sophistication and flexibility, reflected by an increasingly stunted, simplistic vocabulary reduced to three words: genocide, recognition, denial. The genocide is the genocide; it is self-evident; it cannot be discussed. Recognition is to recognize that it was genocide. Anything that falls the slightest bit short of that is denial. Such “falling short” can take various forms, only the most obvious being failure to use the g-word, however complete the description and however sincere the interlocutor might otherwise be. But as I have found out, even if you say it was genocide, any critique of Armenian nationalism, past or present, or for that matter any critique of any other aspect of Armenian culture or institutions, or any disagreement with any dimension of an Armenian interpretation or statement about history, regardless of whether it is factually grounded or not, can result in aspersions of denialism if you happen to be Turkish. There seems to be a profound psychological, spiritual dichotomization underlying that. It may have to do with the most absolutely maximalist definition of denialism possible: any contravention of a belief in all Turks (or Turkishness) as wrong or bad at all times, and in all Armenians (or Armenicity) as right, good and virtuous at all times.

Hrant Dink’s Fourth Constituency: The Promise Held Out by Turkish Armenians

Leave aside how excessively harsh or unjust you may perceive me to have been in these or other critical assessments. Is it possible to arrive at a common acceptance of these or other mutual strengths and weaknesses, and then also at a common road-map for the future? In particular, without mincing any words about the backwardness of many Turks’ historical knowledge or understanding, is it also possible to engage in a constructive critique of the type of “genocide recognition politics” presently pursued by many Armenian groups (which almost invariably revolve around a Turkish-state-vs-Armenians axis), in favor of prioritizing a more horizontal or lateral, more civil society, more Turks-and-Armenians-together type of education, information and consciousness-raising approach to fostering inter-communal, inter-constituency conversations?

Now and in the future, I would hope, for example, that it becomes possible to talk intelligently not only about (the real contents and meaning of) Turkish nationalist denialism, but also about

1) why and how it is that “genocide” remains primarily a lawyer’s as against a historian’s word or concept, overloaded with forcefully legal-criminal implications;

2) how, therefore, if it is pushed too much or over-utilized, it turns into a cliché or buzz-word that becomes a substitute for, and actually ends up masking, a concrete, on-hands type of historical understanding (such as I have tried to provide in Part I of this article);

3) how such pushing or over-utilization is also very capable of stimulating (and simulating) a courtroom atmosphere, a juridical process bound to end in a verdict and a sentencing, which seems to make many Armenians feel like self-righteous prosecutors, with the further corollary that most Turks start feeling as if they are (or Turkishness in general is) on trial, and that a “collective guilt” verdict is inevitable;

4) how, especially in the absence of adequate time and space for re-educating Turkish civil society, this threatens to drive most Turks or Turkish groups not only into over-defensiveness but even into the arms of a denialist deep state (as perhaps evidenced by what has been happening to many Turkish communities in the U.S. especially over the past decade);

5) how this effect is further reinforced by the very strict, indeed maximalist definitions of denial/ism that go hand in hand with single-minded pursuit of such “genocide recognition politics” (as a result of which, huge grey zones of Turkish civil society may be aprioristically written off as “enemies” instead of being recognized as normal people who stand to benefit from truth and reconciliation)15;

6) how a still further effect is to render Turkish politics needlessly opaque, since one starts looking at all parties, forces or dynamics according to the single criterion of (direct and immediate) recognition versus shades and hues of denial, making all the various detailed analyses undertaken in this paper virtually impossible16;

7) why and how it is that therefore, all such multiplying and concatenating effects do not weaken but actually facilitate “genocide denial politics” as practised by the deep state, which vastly prefers to have the question reduced to one of “was it genocide or not?” (as evidenced by all the deliberately obfuscating psychological warfare carried out back in 2005 to persuade the public that what was going to be done at the “Ottoman Armenians” conference was to discuss and then pass a resolution recognizing 1915 as genocide—though that was emphatically not part of the conference agenda);

8) why and how it is that in the end, it also has the effect of making it that much more difficult (or dangerous) to work for recognition and reconciliation inside Turkey (though I would not regard this as a primary consideration).

Now, as a Turk, meaning a fully Turkish Turk, am I also suspect for saying all this outright, and laying it on the table? Could it be that I, too, am trying to divert the Armenian diaspora from proper pursuit of its “national cause”? In other words, could all this, too, be yet another gimmick or smokescreen to delay genocide recognition by the U.S. Congress and Senate, and then also the (next) Administration? Given a past history of decades of isolation between my first and second constituencies, on the one hand, and the third constituency on the other, such doubts, too, are not that difficult to comprehend.

Though they have to be surpassed at some point. And a key role in surpassing them is very likely to devolve on Turkish Armenians, that fourth constituency awakening and activating, which may have been Hrant Dink’s greatest historical contribution. Hrant himself was sui generis in a peculiar way. Since January 19, 2007, he has frequently been described as “an ethnic Armenian and a Turkish citizen.” This does not do full justice to the extent to which he was a mestizo, a product of métissage or hybridity in the anthropological sense. For (citizenship aside) he was also ethno-culturally, linguistically, emotionally and intellectually both Turkish and Armenian. Consequently “his people” were not just Armenians but also Turks, or perhaps not just Turkish Armenians (and Armenian Armenians, and diaspora Armenians) but also Turkish Turks. It was precisely because of such internalized, naturalized hybridity that he had (or developed) that extraordinary gift of his to understand, deal with, inspire confidence in, and translate between all “sides” to our common, connected, tragic history.

Was this why he was killed ? I tend to think not—not in my model of an ideologically deep state-inspired, but organizationally and operationally not centrally commanded, therefore autocephalous network of provincial neo-nationalist vigilantes. I cannot see that orders were relayed from high up all the way down to Ogun Samast to get Hrant because in fact he was identified as “the most dangerous of all.” Instead, I tend to see him as marked out through the web of Article 301 prosecutions that enveloped him simply as an active, vocal Armenian.

But intentionally or not, it is in fact the most uniquely irreplaceable, irreproducible unifier of an entire new resurgence that has been removed—that we have lost—through this murder. Now it is up to his fourth constituency to try and fill that vacuum.

Endnotes

1 This is the second part of an article that takes off from, elaborates on, develops and adds to my preparatory notes for, as well as what I actually said at, the March 31, 2007 Armenians and the Left conference. I am grateful to the Armenian Weekly for agreeing to publish this in such an expanded version, and in two parts.

2 I remember introducing this expression at the first Chicago conference of Turkish and Armenian historians held in spring 2000.

3 I should add: nationalism from above, nationalistic from above. For during the “long 19th century” demise of the Ottoman Empire, a whole range of proto-nationalistic ideological searches and interim conceptualizations, ranging from experiments with Ottomanism to the Turkism that finally erupted out of the Balkan Wars, mostly originated with the intellectual retinues gathering around the 19th century civilian bureaucrats and then the early 20th century professional soldiers and bureaucrats that actually held power and were fighting both to reform and to save the empire. Kemalism’s post-1923 attempt to partially redefine early (or Unionist) Turkish nationalism was a further stage along the same line of modern state-building and nation-building from above. As a result, whereas, for example, in Greece (with its early 19th century war of independence sprouting from below, from a variety of local resistances), nationalism has become and remained relatively more of a popular ideology, in Turkey, in contrast, with its war of independence led by officers in khaki, nationalism has come intlo being as more of a state ideology—and despite recent plebeianizations and state-street alliances, has mostly remained a state ideology to this day.

4 Note that in this approach, religion (Muslims vs. Christians) enters into the analysis at a secondary and complementary level. Some of the most horrific levels of cruelty and murderousness displayed during the genocide might not have been possible without a peculiarly faith-embedded de-humanization of the “other” as kafir, gavur or infidel. Moreover, without that faith-embedded de-humanization and demonization, that is to say if it had been only a matter of two different Christian confessions and communities, all the previous decades’ antagonisms (class hatreds and national hatreds) might not have developed to this level and extent, and therefore also, the resulting crackdown and repression might not have assumed such comprehensively genocidal proportions. Nevertheless, together with all these ethnic-religious interactions and overdeterminations, it was a fundamentally nationalist affair.5 As Taner Akcam’s research has demonstrated again and again, it is indeed their voices of conscience that keep rising to the surface for example during the 1919 court martial—without which, not even a quintessential monster like the district governor of Bogazliyan (presently in the process of being re-heroized by Turkish neo-nationalists) could have been sentenced and executed.

6 See the daily Radikal, October 9, 2000.

7 In a recent (November 2006) interview published in the daily Radikal, my Sabanci University colleague, Professor Cemil Kocak, has drawn a wonderful portrait of Ataturk as a political master-tactician operating within all these constraints. In the same breath, Kocak also warns against trying to over-theorize and over-homogenize this supremely politic Ataturk.

8 At the Istanbul “Ottoman Armenians” conference of September 2005 (publication forthcoming), there was a wealth of such materials and analyses in papers submitted by Hulya Adak, Erol Koroglu, Ahmet Kuyas and Ayhan Aktar.

9 During the March 31st panel, faced with my attempted explanations about this information gap and the resulting need for the Turkish public to be progressively educated about the genocide, Henry Theriault made a show of great incredulity, arguing, in effect, that a genocide is a genocide and that everybody knows what it is; to bolster his point, he picked up a microphone, turning it over and showing it to the audience, remarking: It is a microphone, everybody knows what it is, there is no need to debate what it is, or whether we should think of not calling it a microphone at the outset. Very poor simile. Let me try a better one. a) Even in a country where microphones are used all the time, you would still have to teach children something about electricity and electromagnetism, as well as about the inner parts of a microphone, in order to get them not just to memorize that it is called a microphone but to understand how a microphone works. b) In a country where somehow all teaching about electricity and electromagnetism has been prohibited, and furthermore the public has been brought up on posters showing microphones but saying “beware : these are shrapnel bombs,” you would have to be considerably more sophisticated than saying “a microphone is a microphone” in order to persuade anybody into using them. c) As a socio-historical phenomenon, a genocide is incomparably more complicated than a microphone, and much more difficult to teach about under the best of circumstances. That much, surely even a philosopher should understand.

10 These attacks, which resulted in the wanton destruction of some thousands of businesses, shops and other workplaces as well as many residences belonging to Greek and some other non-Muslim citizens of Turkey by rampaging mobs now known to have been expressly brought into Istanbul from the outside by group leaders receiving their instructions from the military-intelligence establishment, constitute the biggest single act of premeditated mass violence against non-Turkish, non-Muslim populations in the Republican era—and therefore also the closest thing in that Republican era to the Armenian horrors of 1915. In fact, for critical, dissenting intellectuals, scholars and journalists of personal worth, the two have always been strongly (and rightly) connected. It is therefore all the more significant that in September 2005, that is to say on the 50th anniversary of the pogrom, it should have been commemorated, indeed mourned, by most mainstream national dailies as “a black blot on the history of the Republic,” that it should have been exposed, analyzed, taken apart in great detail—and that very few voices should have emerged to defend it. All this happened in early September 2005, i.e. just weeks before the “Ottoman Armenians” conference. It was a great liberating moment in the public sphere, and it was as if the honest media were saying to the conference organizers: We understand what you are doing, for we do know what happened in history, but for the moment we can only say it by proxy, vis-à-vis 1955, and directly vis-à-vis 1915 (my interpretation). That is very significant. In fact, it is perhaps the most important signal that a comparable act of conscience will also eventually take place with respect to the Armenian genocide. Provided, of course, that those on the side of the historical truth know or learn how to address Turkish society without pushing Turks back in fearful defensiveness into the arms of an authoritarian-nationalist establishment.

11 During some informal discussions after the conclusion of the March 31st panel, there seemed to be a certain degree of incredulity amongst some members of the (mostly American-Armenian) audience that it might be possible to teach honestly about Turkish nationalism, and in that context also about 1915, in any Turkish academic environment.

12 In a trenchant interview that I have already referred to, Prof. Cemil Kocak may have been the first major historian and observer of contemporary Turkey to state clearly that full and genuine democracy is impossible on an Ataturkist ideological basis.

13 What do you mean you do not know? Of course you know as we all know. We all know that this is nothing but a bunch of baseless slanders— wrote Emin Colasan.

14 Why, then, is the Turkish government taking this risk? Could it be that, seeing no other way out of the hole into which deep state denialism has dug Turkey over the last 40 years, they actually want to externalize and internationalize the political responsibility for recognition ? The reforming Tanzimat pashas of the 19th century were famous for both grumbling against Great Power demands as “interference in our internal affairs,” but also using them to persuade the sultan of the necessity for reform. On the EU road, it has become common for contemporary reformers to justify everything by the need to satisfy the Copenhagen criteria. Could something similar be happening here, in Abdullah Gul’s WT editorial and then the NYT ad? In politics and diplomacy, stranger things have happened.

15 Crucial here is whether to opt for a legal, textbook definition of “denialism” or a working, on-hands, situationist understanding of the mental-emotional core of denial.

16 Consider, for example, what I have already said regarding Abdullah Gul’s recent WT editorial, and the NYT ad that has followed. Here is fertile ground for rethinking a more nuanced, flexible road map. If this option were to be taken, maybe five years from now Gul’s editorial might be seen as having constituted a new demarche. On the other hand, if this option is not taken because of a belief that it is nothing but a gimmick or a smokescreen for enduring denialism, of course nothing will have come of it, and in the end the gimmick or smokescreen verdict will in a sense have been “proven.”